Sweating Buckets - Week 8 Start/Sit Advice
Author: Dan Jergel (@DJergs)
Week 7 ended with two terrible teams facing off on Monday night and Week 8 started with another one on Thursday. Fantasy football aside, why in all that is holy is Greg Schiano still an NFL coach? The entire team has quit on him, and you can’t really blame them after he treated grown men like teenagers just learning to play the game. Needless to say, this game was very one sided with the Panthers winning 31 – 13.
Cam Newton was the fantasy star, throwing for 221 yards and 2 touchdowns and running for another on 50 yards. DeAngelo Williams gave owners a pleasant surprise by reaching the end-zone, but only rushed for 43 yards.
There were a couple positives that came out of the Bucs’ offense. We finally got a look at Doug Martin’s replacement, Mike James. James only ran for 39 yards on 10 carries but added 26 more on 4 receptions. The Panthers were a tough match-up for James to get his first start against, but he showed some hope for owners struggling at RB. He will continue to be active in the passing game, making him a viable option in PPR formats. Also, Brian Leonard only rushed the ball one time, showing that when the Bucs decide to run it they are going to do it with James
The second positive is Vincent Jackson. Yes, he had a down week compared to his last two, but he still hauled in 5 passes for 79 yards. Most importantly, he still had 13 targets. Mike Glennon looks for him on what seems to be every pass attempt. It seems as though this was Jackson’s floor with Glennon under center, and I’ll take 5 for 79 on a bad day. If you do not own Jackson, reach out to see if he is down on him after Thursday’s game. You might be able to get him at a decently low price, and he is the type of guy that can lead you to a championship.
Now for the remainder of the week three games, let’s get into some start/sit analysis. As a reminder on the below start/sit advice, the studs should be in your lineup every week, and the recommendations will be based on players who are not, or have not yet reached, stud caliber. The stud list was created with the consideration of 2012 production, where they were selected in drafts for 2013, and their 2013 projections.
- Calvin Johnson
- AJ Green
- Dez Bryant
- Wes Welker
- Demaryius Thomas
- Victor Cruz
- Jordy Nelson
- DeSean Jackson
- Antonio Brown
Anquan Boldin – WR – San Francisco 49ers
Boldin performed well last week against a Titans defense that has held #1 receivers in check this year. Kaepernick is starting to find out, even when Boldin is not open, he is open. He has earned his living creating separation while the ball is in the air, and he is proving age has not caused him to change his game. The 49ers and their fantasy owners are licking their chops this week with the Jaguars on the schedule. He may not go over 200 yards like he did in week 1, but he will cause havoc for the Jags. Get him in your lineup.
Pierre Garcon – WR – Washington Redskins
RG3 looks as though he is back to his 2012 form, and he and his favorite receiver are healthy. Also, the emergence of TE Jordan Reed in the Washington pass attack will free up Gracon from the coverage he has been seeing. Garcon will be a good weekly play for the rest of the season but has a great opportunity this week against a Bronco defense that is giving up a ton of points. Like any team playing Peyton Manning, the Redskins will have to throw to keep pace on the score board, resulting in a great opportunity for Garcon.
Jarrett Boykin – WR – Green Bay Packers
Boykin was one of the hottest waive wire claims last week strictly because of the opportunity he would have as the #2 WR in the Packer offense. James Jones is doubtful to play for the second straight week, allowing Boykin to remain in the #2 role. Jermichael Finley is also out with a bruised spinal cord, limiting Rodgers’ possibilities to really Nelson and Boykin. The Packers will likely feed the rock to Eddie Lacy, but Boykin will once again capitalize on his opportunities.
Percy Harvin – WR – Seattle Seahawks
has practiced this week, and looks healthy enough to be activated for
this week. Harvin can be electrifying in the Seahawk offense, making
fantasy owners anxious to run their shiny new toy into the lineup. The
problem is the Seahawks have a layup against the Sam Bradfordless Rams,
and they play on Monday night. Harvin has not yet been activated, and
if we find out Seattle decides to hold him out one more week just before
game time, you will be scavenging to plug in a worthless Seattle or St.
Louis receiver. Also, even if Harvin plays he will likely be limited.
Give him one more week. UPDATE: Harvin is officially out for Monday Night.
Julian Edelman – WR – New England Patriots
Danny Amendola has practiced throughout the week and looks like he will be good to go on Sunday. Anytime Amendola is on the field, Edelman’s value takes a big hit. With Gronk back and the rookie receivers playing well, Edelman’s early season fantasy value has begun to crumble.
Riley Cooper – WR – Philadelphia Eagles
When Nick Foles started playing QB for the Eagles, Cooper started producing. It is safe to say Cooper and Foles have good chemistry, but Foles is not playing this week. When Vick was under center before his injury, Cooper was a ghost. Prior to the last two weeks, Cooper had not topped 2 catches for 29 yards in a game all year. Look for Vick to get this offense back to what we were all mesmerized by at that start of the year, and that means the absence of Cooper.
- Adrian Peterson
- Jamaal Charles
- Marshawn Lynch
- LeSean McCoy
- Reggie Bush
- Knowshon Moreno
- Frank Gore
- Eddie Lacy
Le’Veon Bell – RB – Pittsburgh Steelers
Once returning from the foot injury that sidelined the rookie early in the season, Bell is emerging into the feature back the Steelers drafted him to be. Through three games, one which included the Jets, Bell has run for 184 yards and 2 score and also hauled in 8 passes for another 55 yards. He is being featured more in every game as the Steelers know they have to have a successful run game if they want to be successful. Bell has a nice match-up against the Raiders this week and should see over 20 touches while the Steelers try to control the clock.
Fred Jackson – RB – Buffalo Bills
C.J. Spiller has not practiced all week and although listed as a game time decision, he will sit out this week. Jackson has been a good fantasy option leading the Bill’s backfield even when splitting carries with the hobbled Spiller. He gets the full load this week against a Saints defense that can be run on. He will be heavily involved on the ground and through the air.
Darren McFadden – RB – Oakland Raiders
Before suffering a hamstring injury, McFadden was actually putting up good fantasy numbers in the Pryor lead offense. Injury risk will always be a factor with McFadden, but he is coming off a bye week which allowed him to get healthy and Coach Dennis Allen said he looked explosive in practice this week. The Steelers are not the run defense of the past which had fantasy owners cringe when their RBs squared off with them. They will do a nice job containing Pryor and the Raider offense, but a healthy McFadden will still put up some nice numbers both on the ground and through the air.
Zac Stacy – RB – St. Louis Rams
He is the only St. Louis Ram worth owning in fantasy, as he has produced well as of late. However without Sam Bradford, defense can stack the box and make Brett Favre, or whoever the Rams decide to put under center, beat them. Worst of all, they face the dominant Seahawk defense this week. This will be miserable game for the entire Ram offense.
Chris Ivory – RB – New York Jets
Ivory went for over 100 yards on 34 carries against the Patriots last week. Fantasy owners love seeing that kind of volume, but 3 yards per carry is not impressive. It is hard to see Ivory reaching that kind of rush attempt totals this week, especially against the Bengals who have one of the best front sevens in the game. Also, Powell should be more involved in this one too. Ivory may burst into the endzone, but his yardage and rush attempts will be way down week to week.
Maurice Jones Drew – RB – Jacksonville Jaguars
The days of fantasy stardom are over for MJD. He is averaging just 55 yards per game and is on quite possibly the worst team in the NFL. To make matters worse, he faces off against the 49ers this week in London. It seems as though he is finally healthy, but that won’t do enough to save his fantasy value or the Jaguars as San Francisco will completely dominate this game.
- Peyton Manning
- Drew Brees
- Aaron Rodgers
- Matthew Stafford
- Tony Romo
- Robert Griffin III
Brett Favre – QB – St. Louis Rams
The 44 year old will show up mid-week, play a dominant Seattle defense, and throw for 400 yards and 3 touchdowns. He will be featured on the “stud” list going forward. Yes, this is a joke, just like the entire Rams organization. Proceed below with the real starters.
Michael Vick – QB – Philadelphia Eagles
Vick returns to the starting lineup for the Eagles this week. Prior to his hamstring injury, he was one of the best fantasy QBs. He may not be 100% healthy yet, but he has a great matchup against the Giants. Look for Vick to get the Eagles and the Chip Kelly offense back on track.
Colin Kaepernick – QB – San Francisco 49ers
Kaepernick has started to get his swagger back of late. He has been playing well and gets a great matchup against the Jaguars. Although he has not thrown for a ton of yards outside of week 1, he is producing more and more with his legs. The 49ers will get ahead in a big way, which could result on them leaning even more onto the run game, but Kaepernick will be the reason they get ahead. Start him with confidence this week.
Christian Ponder – QB – Minnesota Vikings
Adrian Peterson is a bit banged up. Ponder is fighting for a job. Vikings will be trailing the Packers, which could result in garbage time stats for Ponder. Ignore all of that. The Vikings are a terrible team, and without Adrian Peterson to run the ball down the opposing team’s throat, their offense has no chance. Josh Freeman, who displayed which could have been the worst QB play we will see all year in week 7, was going to start again if not for a concussion. What does that tell you about Ponder? The Packers’ defense has been good of late, too. Don’t even consider him.
Alex Smith – QB – Kansas City Chiefs
Smith has proven to be a good NFL QB, but not necessarily a good fantasy QB. He is very steady in production and does not turn the ball over, but the Browns have a solid defense this year. This will be a defensive battle, and any offense the Chiefs produce will run through Jamaal Charles.
- Jimmy Graham (Q)
- Rob Gronkowski
- Jason Witten
- Tony Gonzalez
- Vernon Davis
- Julius Thomas
- Jordan Cameron
Jordan Reed – TE – Washington Redskins
Reed went off last week, catching 9 balls for 134 yards and a touchdown. Look for Reed to emerge as an every week fantasy starter in Shanahan’s offense, as he basically becomes the #2 receiver behind Pierre Garcon. Shannon Sharpe produced fairly well playing for Shanahan, didn’t he?
Andrew Quarless – TE – Green Bay Packers
Quarless will start in place of the injured Jermichael Finley, but that doesn’t mean he will produce like him. Finley is a physical, athletic freak who was shaping up to have a great year. Quarless is more of a blocking tight end who only has 4 receptions on the year. Although he steps into Finley’s role on the field, he does not do the same in your fantasy lineup.
Pittsburgh - DEF
The Steelers are playing well of late, and have to continue their winning streak if they want to have a chance at a successful season. This defense shut down Joe Flacco and the Ravens last week, and will give Pryor fits. Pittsburgh has been blind to the endzone, so their defense will have to shine.
New York Jets - DEF
The Jets have been one of the best teams in the league against the run, and are coming off a great victory against the Patriots. However, they will be facing a hot Andy Dalton this week. I say Dalton is hot not because of his hair, but because of his 709 yards passing and 6 touchdowns over the last two weeks. The Bengals will not try to run the ball at the Jets, but will instead put it in Dalton’s hands and he will burn them.